Bism Allah Alrahman Alrahem

Air Strikes against Iran Nuclear Rectors are immanent

There are many indicators and ongoing activities between Israel and the USA from one side and other countries including Arab Gulf states about major strikes against Iran.

These strikes are not so far from the immediate future unless something extraordinary is happening to prevent it. The aim of these strikes is to destroy Iran capability to produce nuclear weapons at least in the near future. The second aim is to destabilize the Iranian regime. The last aim is something going on for many years and they are hoping for an uprising among the Iranian army or other forces to take control of power after the strikes.

The USA and Israel started to prepare the public in the Western countries for the strikes. They will try to reduce the number of civilian casualties however attacking nuclear facilities will result in dangerous consequences and huge number of casualties may occur.

On the other hand Iran may attack the Israeli nuclear facilities and targeting US bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and Kuwait. They will certainly close the Gulf and attack the US warships. The US and Israel are wrong to believe that the strikes are short and finish because Iran may make it longer war. However Iran will be in a difficult position if it strikes back because if they continue the war for many days they will give the excuse to Israel and the US to finish what it was not finished in the first attacks. Iran may use other options such as Hizbullah to engage in a new war and they may attack the oil and Gas facilities in the Gulf.

Seeing all that there is one more surprise that may occur which is Iran may declare soon or after the attack that it is successful in obtaining nuclear weapons and it use them against Israel or the US bases and the US war-ships if the attack against it continued. Moreover, Iran may declare that it became nuclear power before the strikes and it will use this power if attacked. This last option may prevent Israel and US strikes and may lead to completely different situation.

In all circumstances it seems that the area is heading towards a new war which may take months rather than weeks or even years. If started it will lead to dangerous and unexpected consequences more than the previous two Gulf wars for the whole region. It may end the US presence in the Gulf forever. The oil prices and world crises from this will open another front in this war.

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